With the world’s population headed toward 9 billion at mid-century and millions of people climbing out of poverty, global energy demand could increase by as much as 80% by 2060 compared to 2010 levels. That’s according to Shell’s latest scenarios, which look at trends in the economy, politics and energy in considering developments over the next half a century.
Environmentalists say presumption of global temperature rise to 4C undermines multinational’s ability to talk with authority on climate change
Royal Dutch Shell has been accused of pursuing a strategy that would lead to potentially catastrophic climate change after an internal document acknowledged a global temperature rise of 4C, twice the level considered safe for the planet.
A paper used for guiding future business planning at the Anglo-Dutch multinational assumes that carbon dioxide emissions will fail to limit temperature increases to 2C, the internationally agreed threshold to prevent widespread flooding, famine and desertification.
Instead, the New Lens Scenarios document refers to a forecast by the independent International Energy Agency (IEA) that points to a temperature rise of up to 4C in the short term, rising later to 6C.
Published on Aug 21, 2012
By the year 2050, the world’s population will reach nine billion. The demand on the world’s resources – energy, first and foremost – will be severe. But the road from now to then doesn’t need be bleak. There is a path to a future filled with opportunities, with amazing individuals and extraordinary projects leading the way.